Title
A NEW ROBUST ESTIMATION METHOD FOR SHORT-TERM LOAD FORECASTING
Abstract
This paper presents a new robust method to estimate the parameters of ARIMA models. This method makes use of the minimum Hellinger distance estimator (MHDE) to- gether with a robust filter cleaner able to reject a large frac- tion of outliers, and a Gaussian maximum likelihood esti- mation which handles missing values. The main advantages of the procedure are its easiness, robustness, high efficiency and practical execution. Its effectiveness is demonstrated on Monte Carlo simulations and an example of the forecasting of the French daily electricity consumptions. Index Terms- Robustness, time series, Hellinger dis- tance, ARIMA models, outliers, load forecasting.
Year
DOI
Venue
2009
10.5281/zenodo.41646
EUSIPCO
Field
DocType
Citations 
Econometrics,Mathematical optimization,Monte Carlo method,Hellinger distance,Computer science,Outlier,Autoregressive integrated moving average,Robustness (computer science),Gaussian,Missing data,Estimator
Conference
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
1
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Yacine Chakhchoukh11037.18