Title
Varaince reduction in mean time to failure simulations (1988)
Abstract
We describe two variance reduction methods for estimating the mean time to failure (MTTF) in Markovian models of highly reliable systems. The first method is based on a ratio representation of the MTTF and employs importance sampling. The second method is based on a hybrid simulation/analytic technique where the number of simulated transitions are reduced by computing partial results analytically. Experiments with a large example show the effectiveness of both techniques for highly reliable systems.
Year
DOI
Venue
2007
10.1109/WSC.1988.716207
Winter Simulation Conference
Keywords
Field
DocType
importance sampling,failure simulation,hybrid simulation,variance reduction method,large example,reliable system,varaince reduction,markovian model,ratio representation,partial results analytically,mean time,analytic technique,mean time to failure,steady state,availability,redundancy,variance reduction,computational modeling,operations research,monte carlo methods,failure analysis
Mean time between failures,Importance sampling,Monte Carlo method,Markov process,Computer science,Simulation,Redundancy (engineering),Steady state,Variance reduction,Reliability engineering,Technical report
Conference
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
1-4244-1306-0
4
0.53
References 
Authors
5
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Perwez Shahabuddin11364181.65
Victor F. Nicola246884.45
Philip Heidelberger32331346.59
Ambuj Goyal420638.09
Peter W. Glynn51527293.76