Title
A Generalized Result for Degradation Model-Based Reliability Estimation
Abstract
Reliability estimation based on degradation model is a feasible and low-cost alternative used to estimate reliability for highly reliable systems when the failure-time data are rare. Based on reliability estimation by degradation modeling, preventive maintenance work orders need to be timely triggered to minimize unscheduled downtime. In Trans. Autom. Sci. Eng., vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 209-212, Jan. 2012, Sun et al., an approach to dynamically extract maintenance threshold is presented for maintenance scheduling, in which the reliability threshold for maintenance is determined by maximizing the expected availability and the reliability estimation is achieved by a modified two-stage degradation modeling approach. Although this approach is novel and useful, its reliability estimation is an asymptotic solution in long time scale. In this paper, we generalize the above result by considering a general degradation path model and provide the exact and explicit formulation for reliability estimation. Additionally, a maximum-likelihood estimation method for parameters in the presented model is proposed based on the historical degradation observations. Finally, an example is provided for illustration.
Year
DOI
Venue
2014
10.1109/TASE.2013.2260740
IEEE T. Automation Science and Engineering
Keywords
Field
DocType
scheduling,maximum likelihood estimation,parameter estimation,preventive maintenance,reliability
Mathematical optimization,Work order,Scheduling (computing),Computer science,Maximum likelihood,Degradation (geology),Estimation theory,Downtime,Preventive maintenance,Reliability engineering
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
11
2
1545-5955
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
7
0.49
6
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Xiao-Sheng Si162346.17
Dong-Hua Zhou21833129.73