Title
A hybrid forecasting approach using ARIMA models and self-organising fuzzy neural networks for capital markets.
Abstract
Linear time series models, such as the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, are among the most popular statistical models used to forecast time series. In recent years non-linear computational models, such as artificial neural networks (ANN), have been shown to outperform traditional linear models when dealing with complex data, like financial time series. This paper proposes a novel hybrid forecasting model which exploits the linear modelling strengths of the ARIMA model, and the flexibility of a self-organising fuzzy neural network (SOFNN). The system's performance is evaluated using several datasets, and our results indicate that a hybrid system is an effective tool for time series forecasting.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1109/IJCNN.2013.6706965
IJCNN
Keywords
Field
DocType
autoregressive moving average processes,financial data processing,forecasting theory,fuzzy neural nets,time series,ANN,ARIMA models,SOFNN,artificial neural networks,autoregressive integrated moving average model,capital markets,hybrid forecasting approach,linear time series models,nonlinear computational models,self-organising fuzzy neural networks,statistical models,system performance evaluation,time series forecasting
Time series,Neuro-fuzzy,Linear model,Computer science,Autoregressive integrated moving average,Computational model,Artificial intelligence,Statistical model,Artificial neural network,Hybrid system,Machine learning
Conference
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
2161-4393
2
0.38
References 
Authors
13
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Scott McDonald120.38
Sonya Coleman221636.84
T. Martin Mcginnity351866.30
Yuhua Li4111353.63