Abstract | ||
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Travel time prediction in Advanced Traveler Information Systems is an important issue, because travel time is a major factor in motorists' decisions to avoid congestion and incidents. A simulation-assignment-based travel time prediction model for traffic corridors is constructed in this paper. Based on the concept of simulation-assignment models, two algorithms—the flow- and the vehicle-based models—are proposed for travel time prediction. One of the critical issues in simulation-assignment models is how reliable time-dependent origin–destination (O–D) trip tables are generated. A dynamic O–D estimation and prediction procedure is developed to generate time-dependent O–D demand data for simulating vehicle movements using DynaTAIWAN: a simulation-assignment model. The empirical travel time data that were collected from electronic toll stations are used to validate the travel times that were predicted by the proposed models. The mean absolute percentage errors (RMSPEs) and root-mean-square percentage errors are less than 20% and 26% for the vehicle-based model and less than 10% and 12% for the flow-based model, respectively. The results show that the proposed algorithms predict reasonable travel times for traffic corridors. |
Year | DOI | Venue |
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2012 | 10.1109/TITS.2012.2190061 | IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems |
Keywords | Field | DocType |
dynamic o-d prediction procedure,road pricing (tolls),advanced traveler information systems,road vehicles,dynamic o-d estimation procedure,travel time prediction,dynataiwan,traffic corridors,vehicle-based models,o-d trip tables,time-dependent origin-destination trip tables,mean absolute percentage errors,flow-based models,simulation-assignment model,electronic toll stations,simulation-assignment-based travel time prediction model,digital simulation,traffic information systems,road traffic,rmspe,time-dependent o-d demand data,root-mean-square percentage errors,mean square error methods,forecasting,algorithms | Information system,Toll,Simulation,Flow (psychology),Transport engineering,Road traffic,Traffic simulation,Engineering,Travel time | Journal |
Volume | Issue | ISSN |
13 | 3 | 1524-9050 |
Citations | PageRank | References |
9 | 0.59 | 5 |
Authors | ||
4 |
Name | Order | Citations | PageRank |
---|---|---|---|
Ta-Yin Hu | 1 | 27 | 4.19 |
Chee-Chung Tong | 2 | 9 | 0.59 |
Tsai-Yun Liao | 3 | 23 | 3.09 |
Wei-Ming Ho | 4 | 10 | 1.29 |