Name
Abstract | ||
|---|---|---|
Abstract Two disciplines—decision analysis (sometimes ,called value analysis) and ,scenario planning—provide a level ,of rigor to the ,task of looking ,into the future. Both combine information available in the present with explicit assumptions, interpretations, and consequences. Decision analysis models consequences of actions, identifying where uncertainty divides single events into multiple options, each having some likelihood of occurrence. Scenario planning is a form of science fiction writing that gives a gestalt view of the future evolved from the present under a model of how environment, technology, economics, and politics may change. Scenario planning is used to produce stories that identify patterns of behavior. Decision analysis applies mathematics ,to quantify sequences of choices, such as cost tradeoffs, and to compute the future value of assets created by following any particular sequence. Why are these disciplines of interest in software engineering? First, they offer tools for modeling,assumptions ,and ,expectations. They ,provide ways ,to construct ,plans in situations dominated by uncertainty. Second, they provide a framework for anticipating the consequence ,of selecting ,a next ,step. And third ,is that they offer techniques ,for designing,collaborative technologies ,to support ,project ,planning. These ,same techniques,are currently being used ,to design ,online support ,for secondary ,school teacher professional development,and for drug development,programs. |
Year | Venue | Keywords |
|---|---|---|
2002 | Journal of Object Technology | drug development,software engineering,scenario planning,science fiction,decision analysis,project planning |
Field | DocType | Volume |
Decision analysis,Systems engineering,Scenario planning,Computer science,Fiction writing,Professional development,Gestalt psychology,Project planning,Future value,Management science | Journal | 1 |
Issue | Citations | PageRank |
5 | 0 | 0.34 |
References | Authors | |
0 | 1 | |
Name | Order | Citations | PageRank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adele Goldberg | 1 | 0 | 0.34 |