Title
An Odds Ratio Based Inference Engine
Abstract
Expert systems applications that involve uncertain inference can be represented by a multidimensional contingency table. These tables offer a general approach to inferring with uncertain evidence, because they can embody any form of association between any number of pieces of evidence and conclusions. (Simpler models may be required, however, if the number of pieces of evidence bearing on a conclusion is large.) This paper presents a method of using these tables to make uncertain inferences without assumptions of conditional independence among pieces of evidence or heuristic combining rules. As evidence is accumulated, new joint probabilities are calculated so as to maintain any dependencies among the pieces of evidence that are found in the contingency table. The new conditional probability of the conclusion is then calculated directly from these new joint probabilities and the conditional probabilities in the contingency table.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1016/B978-0-444-70058-2.50033-4
uncertainty in artificial intelligence
Keywords
Field
DocType
odd ratio
Econometrics,Uncertain inference,Heuristic,Joint probability distribution,Conditional probability,Conditional independence,Computer science,Expert system,Contingency table,Inference engine,Statistics
Journal
Volume
Citations 
PageRank 
abs/1304.3434
3
0.62
References 
Authors
2
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
David S. Vaughan192.64
Bruce M. Perrin2173.36
Robert M. Yadrick3103.26
Peter D. Holden472.23
Karl G. Kempf515939.76