Title
SMART: A Stochastic Multiscale Model for the Analysis of Energy Resources, Technology, and Policy
Abstract
We address the problem of modeling energy resource allocation, including dispatch, storage, and the long-term investments in new technologies, capturing different sources of uncertainty such as energy from wind, demands, prices, and rainfall. We also wish to model long-term investment decisions in the presence of uncertainty. Accurately modeling the value of all investments, such as wind turbines and solar panels, requires handling fine-grained temporal variability and uncertainty in wind and solar in the presence of storage. We propose a modeling and algorithmic strategy based on the framework of approximate dynamic programming (ADP) that can model these problems at hourly time increments over an entire year or several decades. We demonstrate the methodology using both spatially aggregate and disaggregate representations of energy supply and demand. This paper describes the initial proof of concept experiments for an ADP-based model called SMART; we describe the modeling and algorithmic strategy and provide comparisons against a deterministic benchmark as well as initial experiments on stochastic data sets.
Year
DOI
Venue
2012
10.1287/ijoc.1110.0470
INFORMS Journal on Computing
Keywords
Field
DocType
initial proof,energy resource allocation,wind turbine,solar panel,energy resources,stochastic multiscale model,long-term investment,energy supply,adp-based model,long-term investment decision,initial experiment,algorithmic strategy,artificial intelligence,simulation,statistical analysis,analysis of algorithms,queues
Dynamic programming,Mathematical optimization,Analysis of algorithms,Proof of concept,Emerging technologies,Resource allocation,Energy supply,Investment decisions,Mathematics,Wind power
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
24
4
1091-9856
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
10
0.71
18
Authors
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Warren B. Powell11614151.46
Abraham George2393.48
Hugo Simão31068.38
Warren Scott4381.84
Alan Lamont5100.71
Jeffrey Stewart6100.71