Abstract | ||
---|---|---|
This paper examines the problem of selecting an alternative in situations in which there exists uncertainty in our knowledge of the state of the world. We show how the ordered weighted averaging aggregation operators provide a unifying approach to selecting alternatives under uncertainty. In particular, we see how these operators provide a type of probability associated with our degree of optimism. We also show how the Dempster-Shafer belief structure provides a general framework for representing the information a decision maker has regarding relevant events. We then propose a methodology for decision making under uncertainty, integrating the ordered weighted averaging aggregation operators and the Dempster-Shafer belief structure. The proposed methodology is applied to a real world case involving risk management at one of the nation's largest banks. |
Year | DOI | Venue |
---|---|---|
1996 | 10.1142/S0218488596000020 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF UNCERTAINTY FUZZINESS AND KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS |
Keywords | Field | DocType |
decision analysis, risk and uncertainty, risk management | Decision analysis,Existential quantification,Belief structure,Risk management,Weighted sum model,Optimism,Operator (computer programming),Decision maker,Management science,Mathematics | Journal |
Volume | Issue | ISSN |
4 | 1 | 0218-4885 |
Citations | PageRank | References |
8 | 7.35 | 0 |
Authors | ||
3 |
Name | Order | Citations | PageRank |
---|---|---|---|
Kurt J. Engemann | 1 | 8 | 7.69 |
Holmes E. Miller | 2 | 18 | 10.01 |
Ronald R. Yager | 3 | 986 | 206.03 |