Title
Emerging technologies: quantitative identification and measurement
Abstract
Emerging technologies present both challenges and opportunities for national technology strategies. National governments may therefore want to monitor the technological horizon on a systematic basis. This article outlines the quantitative approaches available for such monitoring. Among the standard types of bibliometric data, proposals and publications are most likely to be useful for this purpose since they capture information earlier in the cycle of technology development. Patents, in contrast, trail behind. Analysis can proceed with keywords or citations, and algorithms are available to use the information structure inherent in these kinds of data to identify and measure emerging areas. There are limitations, however, in all the available approaches and the authors therefore recommend using them in conjunction with expert methods by focusing the qualitative assessment in particular areas.
Year
DOI
Venue
2010
10.1080/09537321003647396
TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS & STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT
Keywords
Field
DocType
emerging technologies,quantitative analysis,bibliometrics
Technology development,Information structure,Economics,Knowledge management,Emerging technologies,Bibliometrics
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
22.0
3
0953-7325
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
28
1.41
1
Authors
7
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Susan E. Cozzens117128.36
Sonia Gatchair2281.41
Jongseok Kang3291.79
Kyung-Sup Kim414723.04
Hyuck Jai Lee5383.05
Gonzalo Ordonez6281.75
Alan Porter7332.77