Title
Prediction of silkworm cocoon yield in china based on grey-markov forecasting model
Abstract
The method of Grey prediction and Markov Chain prediction could be used for the prediction in time order. Their combination could be extensively applied in forecasting. In this paper, we studied the precisions of Grey-Markov forecasting model based on the original data of the silkworm cocoon yield in China from 1950 to 1999. The precisions of Grey-Markov forecasting model from 2000 to 2003 are 95.56%, 95.17% and 94.40% respectively, which are higher than GM (1,1), and next to the Exponential Smoothing method and linear regression. The paper provided a scientific basis for the planned development of sericulture in China.
Year
DOI
Venue
2006
10.1007/11925231_47
MICAI
Keywords
Field
DocType
original data,grey-markov forecasting model,time order,silkworm cocoon yield,planned development,scientific basis,grey prediction,exponential smoothing method,markov chain prediction,linear regression,exponential smoothing,markov chain
Exponential smoothing,Econometrics,Markov model,Regression analysis,Computer science,Markov chain,Sericulture,Gray (horse),Linear regression
Conference
Volume
ISSN
ISBN
4293
0302-9743
3-540-49026-4
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
2
Authors
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Lingxia Huang100.34
Peihua Jin200.34
Yong He348765.25
Chengfu Lou400.34
Min Huang573.60
Mingang Chen672.18