Title
Integrated Time Series Forecasting approaches using moving average, grey prediction, support vector regression and bagging for NNGC
Abstract
Time series prediction is an interesting and challenging task in the field of data mining. This paper focuses on the monthly time series in NNGC. There are two main kinds of approaches, i.e. statistical approaches and computational intelligence approaches, which deal with time series prediction. We treat moving average and grey prediction from the statistical field as our benchmarks. We then combine these two approaches respectively with support vector regression (SVR) from the computational intelligence field. The hybrid SVR approaches outperform moving average and grey prediction based on the criteria of MAPE, SMAPE and RMSE. Finally, we further integrate these hybrid SVR approaches with the technique of the bagging ensembles to further achieve a better performance.
Year
DOI
Venue
2010
10.1109/IJCNN.2010.5596798
IJCNN
Keywords
Field
DocType
grey systems,grey prediction,rmse,svr,support vector regression,regression analysis,statistical approaches,mape,nngc,smape,data mining,bagging ensembles,bagging,time series,support vector machines,time series prediction,computational intelligence,time series forecasting,moving average
Data mining,Order of integration,Time series,Computer science,Regression analysis,Mean squared error,Artificial intelligence,Symmetric mean absolute percentage error,Computational intelligence,Pattern recognition,Support vector machine,Moving average,Machine learning
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
1098-7576
978-1-4244-6916-1
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
10
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Chihli Hung125916.93
Xinyi Huang22245129.63
Hao-Kai Lin3391.59
Yen-Hsu Hou400.34