Title
Reliable Predictive Intervals for the Critical Frequency of the F2 Ionospheric Layer
Abstract
This paper addresses the problem of reliably predicting an important HF communication systems parameter, the critical frequency of the F2 ionospheric layer, with the use of a new machine learning technique, called Conformal Prediction (CP). CP accompanies the predictions of traditional machine learning algorithms with measures of confidence. The proposed approach is based on the wellknown Ridge Regression technique, but instead of the point predictions produced by the original method, it produces predictive intervals that satisfy a given confidence level. Our experimental results on an extended critical frequency dataset show that the obtained intervals are well-calibrated and narrow enough to be useful in practice.
Year
DOI
Venue
2010
10.3233/978-1-60750-606-5-1123
ECAI
Keywords
Field
DocType
traditional machine,confidence level,new machine,conformal prediction,f2 ionospheric layer,critical frequency,important hf communication system,reliable predictive intervals,wellknown ridge regression technique,extended critical frequency dataset,prediction interval,ionosphere
Regression,Computer science,Ionosphere,Communications system,Conformal map,Artificial intelligence,Critical frequency,Confidence interval,Machine learning
Conference
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
215
0922-6389
2
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.39
3
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Harris Papadopoulos121926.33
Haris Haralambous2366.72