Title
Behavioural modelling of career progression in the European Commission.
Abstract
Though manpower planning models have been part of OR for many years, and simulation has always been acknowledged as a potential approach, there are few reported applications of its use. In this case-based study we report on a micro-simulation model that exploits the structure of the European Commission's appraisal and promotion rules, and includes regression-based sampling schemes which allow for non-Normal error terms to represent behavioural factors that led to the need for a new system. With a suitably parsimonious formulation the 20,000 person model runs very effectively, and the transparency associated with simulation proves an important factor in the successful use of the model as the basis for designing a promotion box system that was implemented across the Commission in 2009. The simulation modelling incorporates many Markov-type elements, and we reflect on important lessons learned from this combined use of micro-simulation and Markov-based approaches to manpower modelling. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Year
DOI
Venue
2012
10.1016/j.ejor.2012.05.027
European Journal of Operational Research
Keywords
Field
DocType
Human resources,OR in manpower planning,Simulation,Linear regression
Transparency (graphic),Commission,Human resources,Computer science,Operations research,Simulation modelling,Exploit,Sampling (statistics),Valuation (finance),Operations management
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
222
3
0377-2217
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
10
Authors
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Stephan Onggo191.71
Michael Pidd253641.15
Didier Soopramanien3192.73
David J. Worthington4213.10