Paper Info
Title
Prevention and medication of HIV/AIDS: the case of Botswana.
Abstract
In this paper we developed a mathematical model which allows estimating and projecting the effects of prevention and treatment programs on the total population size, HIV-induced deaths, and life expectancies. Considering only the female population we project the changes of the demographic developments and the situation of HIV/AIDS for Botswana up to 2060. Our mathematical model is used to project the female population development considering their age-structure. Treatment programs are included through selecting a price for medication (or giving it for free). Prevention programs consist of two parts: school-based programs which try to change risky behavior and instantaneous prevention (e.g., free condoms) which has only a short-time effect on the infection risk. The main conclusions drawn from our results are that prevention-only programs always yield the fastest decrease in HIV/AIDS prevalence. Adding a medication program reduces the efficiency of the prevention interventions regarding prevalence, but it reduces the number of HIV-induced deaths and increases life expectancies.
Year
DOI
Venue
2007
10.1007/s10100-006-0018-3
CEJOR
Keywords
Field
DocType
HIV/AIDS,Mathematical model,Age distribution,Botswana,Prevention and treatment
Population,Economic growth,Economics,Psychological intervention,HIV/AIDS,Developing country,Population size,Research methodology,Life expectancy,Environmental health,Theoretical models,Operations management
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
15
1
1435-246X
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
1
0.36
1
Authors
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Christian Almeder1907.09
Gustav Feichtinger214338.93
Warren C. Sanderson310.36
Vladimir M. Veliov416959.75