Title
Optimal strategies for selecting project portfolios using uncertain value estimates.
Abstract
•We use Bayesian methods to model uncertainties in project portfolio selection.•The proposed methods serve to increase the expected value of the selected portfolio.•Bayesian uncertainty modeling helps to eliminate post-decision disappointment.•The methods support the optimal targeting of additional project evaluations.•We propose a project performance measure that accounts for portfolio constraints.
Year
DOI
Venue
2014
10.1016/j.ejor.2013.09.023
European Journal of Operational Research
Keywords
Field
DocType
Decision analysis,Portfolio selection,Bayesian methods,Value of information
Econometrics,Mathematical optimization,Application portfolio management,Actuarial science,Replicating portfolio,Modern portfolio theory,Portfolio,Post-modern portfolio theory,Portfolio optimization,Value of information,Future value,Mathematics
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
233
3
0377-2217
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
5
0.41
12
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Eeva Vilkkumaa191.14
Juuso Liesiö222513.80
Ahti Salo344534.14