Title
Bayesian Predictive Profiles With Applications to Retail Transaction Data
Abstract
Massive transaction data sets are recorded in a routine manner in telecommunications, retail commerce, and Web site management. In this paper we address the problem of inferring predictive individual profiles from such historical transaction data. We describe a generative mixture model for count data and use an an approximate Bayesian estimation framework that effectively combines an individual's specific history with more general population patterns. We use a large real-world retail transaction data set to illustrate how these profiles consistently outperform non-mixture and non-Bayesian techniques in predicting customer behavior in out-of-sample data.
Year
Venue
Keywords
2001
ADVANCES IN NEURAL INFORMATION PROCESSING SYSTEMS 14, VOLS 1 AND 2
count data,customer behavior,mixture model,transaction data
Field
DocType
Volume
Data mining,Population,Computer science,Consumer behaviour,Bayesian average,Artificial intelligence,Count data,Bayes estimator,Transaction data,Machine learning,Mixture model,Bayesian probability
Conference
14
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
1049-5258
0
0.34
References 
Authors
6
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Igor V. Cadez126329.24
Padhraic Smyth271481451.38