Title
Multi-scale Internet traffic forecasting using neural networks and time series methods.
Abstract
This article presents three methods to forecast accurately the amount of traffic in TCP/IP based networks: a novel neural network ensemble approach and two important adapted time series methods (ARIMA and Holt-Winters). In order to assess their accuracy, several experiments were held using real-world data from two large Internet service providers. In addition, different time scales (5 min, 1 h and 1 day) and distinct forecasting lookaheads were analysed. The experiments with the neural ensemble achieved the best results for 5 min and hourly data, while the Holt-Winters is the best option for the daily forecasts. This research opens possibilities for the development of more efficient traffic engineering and anomaly detection tools, which will result in financial gains from better network resource management.
Year
DOI
Venue
2012
10.1111/j.1468-0394.2010.00568.x
EXPERT SYSTEMS
Keywords
Field
DocType
network monitoring,multi-layer perceptron,time series,traffic engineering
Computer science,Multilayer perceptron,Artificial intelligence,Functional testing (manufacturing),Network monitoring,Artificial neural network,Traffic engineering,Internet traffic,Machine learning
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
29.0
2.0
0266-4720
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
45
2.20
8
Authors
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Paulo Cortez11469.82
Miguel Rio227729.40
Miguel Rocha351154.06
Pedro Sousa417425.25