Title
Extreme modeling: modeling design development in unpredictable environments
Abstract
This paper presents a process simulation model representative for design development of a building system in an unpredictable environment. Unpredictability means that design criteria are prone to change as design development unfolds. The model was implemented with a discrete-event simulation engine based on event graphs. Events capture moments when tasks start or end, or changes that cancel future scheduled events and schedule new design iterations. Between conceptualization and concept development, we assume that managers can impose a time lag so as to minimize rework of concept development tasks due to upstream changes of design criteria. Simulation illustrates the effects of adopting different postponement strategies. The results show that postponing the start of concept development consistently reduces the average resources spent in concept development and increases process reliability, but it augments the average design duration. The judicious choice of a postponement lag can thus yield gains in terms of cost versus time.
Year
DOI
Venue
2001
10.1145/564124.564197
Winter Simulation Conference
Keywords
Field
DocType
discrete-event simulation engine,new design iteration,average design duration,design development,design criterion,unpredictable environment,extreme modeling,process simulation model representative,concept development,average resource,concept development task,different postponement strategy,process simulation,discrete event simulation
Time lag,Postponement,Rework,Graph,Simulation,Computer science,Conceptualization,Concept development,Process simulation,Lag
Conference
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
0-7803-7309-X
1
0.51
References 
Authors
1
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Nuno Gil1234.37
Iris D. Tommelein2309.56
Robert Kirkendall310.51