Title
Modeling and simulating the economic and demographic impact of transport infrastructure investment
Abstract
Investment in transportation infrastructure has been widely utilized as an instrument for inducing economic growth in a country or region. Such investment usually leads to job creation and an increase in per capita income that, in turn, encourages an increase in population through migration. The increased spending of these newly migrated populations leads to secondary job creation and further economic development. However, this increased economic activity corresponds with increased utilization of the transport infrastructure resulting in high levels of congestion. This congestion may negatively impact the attractiveness of the region for further new investment since the level of congestion in a transportation network is known to affect the productivity of the workforce. Thus, congestion has a direct impact on the region's GRP (Gross Regional Product). Often, calls are made to alleviate this congestion through added investment in the transport infrastructure. This, again, further spurs economic activity, migration, and congestion. The present study employs a system dynamics approach for modeling the cyclic relationships observed between the economic impact of transportation infrastructure and regional development. Our approach uses a common platform wherein the interconnected factors of demography, transportation infrastructure, and economic activity are jointly modeled and simulated. This model aspires to be utilized as a decision support and consensus building tool in the process of better understanding the impact of investment in transport infrastructure.
Year
Venue
Keywords
2011
SpringSim (EAIA)
new investment,economic development,economic activity,direct impact,increased economic activity corresponds,transport infrastructure investment,economic impact,economic growth,transport infrastructure,demographic impact,added investment,transportation infrastructure
Field
DocType
Citations 
Flow network,Gross Regional Product,Population,Economic growth,Economics,Economic impact analysis,Natural resource economics,Workforce,Decision support system,Per capita income,System dynamics
Conference
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Behr Joshua1103.83
Diaz Rafael2156.09
Mandar Tulpule300.68
Francesco Longo419419.93
Antonio Cimino5133.41