Title
Setting forecasting model parameters using unconstrained direct search methods: An empirical evaluation.
Abstract
•We address the parameterization of exponential smoothing forecasting models.•We empirically test derivative-free methods for models’ parameterization.•We adapt the exponential smoothing model to handle box-constraints.•Derivative-free methods almost equaled the performance of a gradient-based method.•Derivative-free methods resulted faster than the gradient-based method.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1016/j.eswa.2013.03.044
Expert Systems with Applications
Keywords
Field
DocType
Exponential smoothing forecasting,Time series forecasting,Model parameterization,Direct search methods
Exponential smoothing,Time series,Mathematical optimization,Parametrization,Computer science,Direct search,Robustness (computer science),Compact space,Artificial intelligence,Forecast error,Machine learning,Computation
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
40
13
0957-4174
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
9
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Roberto Pinto1177.57
Paolo Gaiardelli23610.78