Title
Structural models used in real-time biosurveillance outbreak detection and outbreak curve isolation from noisy background morbidity levels.
Abstract
Objective We discuss the use of structural models for the analysis of biosurveillance related data. Methods and results Using a combination of real and simulated data, we have constructed a data set that represents a plausible time series resulting from surveillance of a large scale bioterrorist anthrax attack in Miami. We discuss the performance of anomaly detection with structural models for these data using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and activity monitoring operating characteristic (AMOC) analysis. In addition, we show that these techniques provide a method for predicting the level of the outbreak valid for approximately 2 weeks, post-alarm. Conclusions Structural models provide an effective tool for the analysis of biosurveillance data, in particular for time series with noisy, non-stationary background and missing data.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1136/amiajnl-2012-000945
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL INFORMATICS ASSOCIATION
Keywords
Field
DocType
anomaly detection,kalman filter,time series
Data mining,Anomaly detection,Receiver operating characteristic,Kalman filter,Outbreak,Missing data,Biosurveillance,Medicine
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
20
3
1067-5027
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
2
0.42
4
Authors
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Karen Elizabeth Cheng120.42
David J. Crary220.42
Jaideep Ray319824.42
Cosmin Safta4338.56