Title
GIS-based rainfall-triggered landslide warning and forecasting model of Shenzhen
Abstract
Landslide warning and forecasting is essential to landslide risk management. This paper establishes a GIS-based landslide warning and forecasting model of Shenzhen where rainfall-trigged landslides have caused great property and life loss. Based on the high-resolution observation data of rainfall and landslide occurrences in Shenzhen, Kriging interpolation model is applied to derive the regional rainfall data prior to the occurrence of landslides. The binary logistic model is then trained by the forward stepwise method, in which the precipitation of the first, second and fourth day prior to the occurrences of landslide are selected as significant explanatory factors. Then, the confusion matrix and AUC/ROC are calculated to verify the model. Finally the critical precipitation of landslide warning and forecasting of Shenzhen is determined. This paper may provide concrete support for landslide risk management work in Shenzhen and helpful reference for related studies.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1109/Geoinformatics.2013.6626026
Geoinformatics
Keywords
Field
DocType
interpolation,geographic information systems,gis,binary logistic model,matrix algebra,critical precipitation,observation data,landslide,landslide risk management,confusion matrix,shenzhen kriging interpolation model,warning and forecasting model,risk management,gis based rainfall triggered landslide warning,data handling,shenzhen forecasting model,binary logistic regression,logistics,data models,forecasting,predictive models
Kriging,Data mining,Geographic information system,Confusion matrix,Matrix algebra,Computer science,Risk management,Landslide,Precipitation
Conference
Volume
Issue
ISSN
null
null
2161-024X
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
0
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Gege Jiang100.34
Yuan Tian235.43
Chenchao Xiao321.76