Title
A Geometric Proof of Calibration
Abstract
We provide yet another proof of the existence of calibrated forecasters; it has two merits. First, it is valid for an arbitrary finite number of outcomes. Second, it is short and simple and it follows from a direct application of Blackwell's approachability theorem to a carefully chosen vector-valued payoff function and convex target set. Our proof captures the essence of existing proofs based on approachability (e.g., the proof by Foster [Foster, D. 1999. A proof of calibration via Blackwell's approachability theorem. Games Econom. Behav.29 73--78] in the case of binary outcomes) and highlights the intrinsic connection between approachability and calibration.
Year
DOI
Venue
2010
10.1287/moor.1100.0465
Mathematics of Operations Research
Keywords
DocType
Volume
approachability theorem,convergence rates,intrinsic connection,binary outcome,games econom,approachability,convex target set,calibration,geometric proof,vector-valued payoff function,direct application,arbitrary finite number
Journal
35
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
4
0364-765X
10
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.75
4
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Shie Mannor13340285.45
Gilles Stoltz235131.53