Title
PGT: a statistical approach to prediction and mechanism design
Abstract
One of the biggest challenges facing behavioral economics is the lack of a single theoretical framework that is capable of directly utilizing all types of behavioral data. One of the biggest challenges of game theory is the lack of a framework for making predictions and designing markets in a manner that is consistent with the axioms of decision theory. An approach in which solution concepts are distribution-valued rather than set-valued (i.e. equilibrium theory) has both capabilities. We call this approach Predictive Game Theory (or PGT). This paper outlines a general Bayesian approach to PGT. It also presents one simple example to illustrate the way in which this approach differs from equilibrium approaches in both prediction and mechanism design settings.
Year
DOI
Venue
2010
10.1007/978-3-642-12079-4_39
SBP
Keywords
Field
DocType
statistical approach,behavioral data,mechanism design,equilibrium approach,approach predictive game theory,single theoretical framework,decision theory,equilibrium theory,general bayesian approach,behavioral economics,biggest challenge,game theory,solution concept,bayesian approach
Decision rule,Strategy,Computer science,Implementation theory,Operations research,Mechanism design,Decision theory,Game theory,Artificial intelligence,Nash equilibrium,Positive political theory,Machine learning
Conference
Volume
ISSN
ISBN
6007
0302-9743
3-642-12078-4
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
1
0.42
2
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
David H. Wolpert14334591.07
James W. Bono2162.29