Title
Bias-correction of regression models: a case study on hERG inhibition.
Abstract
In the present work we develop a predictive QSAR model for the blockade of the hERG channel. Additionally, this specific end point is used as a test scenario to develop and evaluate several techniques for fusing predictions from multiple regression models. hERG inhibition models which are presented here are based on a combined data set of roughly 550 proprietary and 110 public domain compounds. Models are built using various statistical learning techniques and different sets of molecular descriptors. Single Support Vector Regression, Gaussian Process, or Random Forest models achieve root mean-squared errors of roughly 0.6 log units as determined from leave-group-out cross-validation. An analysis of the evaluation strategy on the performance estimates shows that standard leave-group-out cross-validation yields overly optimistic results. As an alternative, a clustered cross-validation scheme is introduced to obtain a more realistic estimate of the model performance. The evaluation of several techniques to combine multiple prediction models shows that the root mean squared error as determined from clustered cross-validation can be reduced from 0.73 +/- 0.01 to 0.57 +/- 0.01 using a local bias correction strategy.
Year
DOI
Venue
2009
10.1021/ci9000794
JOURNAL OF CHEMICAL INFORMATION AND MODELING
Keywords
Field
DocType
regression model
Quantitative structure–activity relationship,Data mining,hERG,Regression analysis,Support vector machine,Chemistry,Scenario testing,Gaussian process,Random forest,Linear regression
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
49
6
1549-9596
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
0
Authors
7
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Katja Hansen100.34
Fabian Rathke2192.29
Timon Schroeter313613.16
Georg Rast400.34
Thomas Fox5182.70
Jan M. Kriegl6192.70
Sebastian Mika71123121.86