Title
Temporal Bayesian Network of Events for Diagnosis and Prediction in Dynamic Domains
Abstract
In some domains like industry, medicine, communications, speech recognition, planning, tutoring systems, and forecasting; the timing of observations (symptoms, measures, test, events, as well as faults) play a major role in diagnosis and prediction. This paper introduces a new formalism to deal with uncertainty and time using Bayesian networks called Temporal Bayesian Network of Events (TBNE). In a TBNE each node represents an event or state change of a variable, and an arc corresponds to a causal-temporal relationship. A temporal node represents the time that a variable changes state, including an option of no-change. The temporal intervals can differ in number and size for each temporal node, so this allows multiple granularity. Our approach is contrasted with a Dynamic Bayesian network for a simple medical example. An empirical evaluation is presented for a subsystem of a thermal power plant, in which this approach is used for fault diagnosis and event prediction with good results. The TBNE model can be used for the diagnosis of a cascade of anomalies arising with certain delays; this situation is typical in the diagnosis of medical and industrial processes.
Year
DOI
Venue
2005
10.1007/s10489-005-3413-x
Appl. Intell.
Keywords
Field
DocType
bayesian networks,temporal uncertainty,diagnosis,prediction,industrial applications
Data mining,Variable-order Bayesian network,Computer science,Bayesian network,Artificial intelligence,Cascade,Formalism (philosophy),Granularity,Machine learning,Dynamic Bayesian network
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
23
2
0924-669X
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
12
0.75
12
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Gustavo Arroyo-Figueroa117022.16
L. Enrique Sucar21016118.72