Title
Automated Cellular Modeling and Prediction on a Large Scale
Abstract
We describe CHAMP (CHurn Analysis, Modeling, andPrediction), an automated system for modeling cellularsubscriber churn that is predicting which customerswill discontinue cellular phone service. We describevarious issues related to developing and deployingthis system including automating data access from aremote data warehouse, preprocessing, featureselection, model validation, and optimization toreflect business tradeoffs. Using data from GTE'sdata warehouse for cellular phone customers, CHAMP iscapable of developing churn models customized byregion for over one hundred GTE cellular phone marketstotaling over 5 million customers. Every month churnfactors are identified for each geographic region andmodels are updated to generate churn scores predictingwho is likely to churn in the short term. Learningmethods such as decision trees and genetic algorithmsare used for feature selection and a cascade neuralnetwork is used for predicting churn scores. Inaddition to producing churn scores, CHAMP alsoproduces qualitative results in the form of rules andcomparison of market trends that are disseminatedthrough a web based interface.
Year
DOI
Venue
2000
10.1023/A:1006643109702
Artif. Intell. Rev.
Keywords
Field
DocType
churn prediction,neural networks,decision trees
Data warehouse,Data mining,Decision tree,Feature selection,Computer science,Preprocessor,Phone,Artificial intelligence,Artificial neural network,Data access,Machine learning,Genetic algorithm
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
14
6
1573-7462
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
33
1.85
7
Authors
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Piew Datta110524.65
Brij Masand220756.00
D. R. Mani38120.82
Bin Li4432.52