Title
Coevolution of lags and RBFNs for time series forecasting: L-Co-R algorithm
Abstract
This paper introduces Lags COevolving with Rbfns (L-Co-R), a coevolutionary method developed to face time-series forecasting problems. L-Co-R simultaneously evolves the model that provides the forecasted values and the set of time lags the model must use in the prediction process. Coevolution takes place by means of two populations that evolve at the same time, cooperating between them; the first population is composed of radial basis function neural networks; the second one contains the individuals representing the sets of lags. Thus, the final solution provided by the method comprises both the neural net and the set of lags that better approximate the time series. The method has been tested across 34 different time series datasets, and the results compared to 6 different methods referenced in literature, and with respect to 4 different error measures. The results show that L-Co-R outperforms the rest of methods, as the statistical analysis carried out indicates.
Year
DOI
Venue
2012
10.1007/s00500-011-0784-2
Soft Comput.
Keywords
Field
DocType
Neural networks,Coevolutionary algorithms,Time series forecasting,Significant lags
Population,Time series,Coevolution,Radial basis function neural,Computer science,Artificial intelligence,Artificial neural network,Machine learning,Statistical analysis
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
16
6
1432-7643
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
6
0.43
48
Authors
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Elisabet Parras-Gutierrez1315.12
M. Garcia-Arenas2171.05
V. Rivas353223.12
M. J. del Jesus488431.15