Title
Implementing support vector regression with differential evolution to forecast motherboard shipments
Abstract
In this study, we investigate the forecasting accuracy of motherboard shipments from Taiwan manufacturers. A generalized Bass diffusion model with external variables can provide better forecasting performance. We present a hybrid particle swarm optimization (HPSO) algorithm to improve the parameter estimates of the generalized Bass diffusion model. A support vector regression (SVR) model was recently used successfully to solve forecasting problems. We propose an SVR model with a differential evolution (DE) algorithm to improve forecasting accuracy. We compare our proposed model with the Bass diffusion and generalized Bass diffusion models. The SVR model with a DE algorithm outperforms the other models on both model fit and forecasting accuracy.
Year
DOI
Venue
2014
10.1016/j.eswa.2013.12.022
Expert Syst. Appl.
Keywords
Field
DocType
taiwan manufacturer,bass diffusion,forecasting accuracy,de algorithm,model fit,generalized bass diffusion model,motherboard shipment,svr model,differential evolution,implementing support vector regression,better forecasting performance,particle swarm optimization,support vector regression
Particle swarm optimization,Bass (fish),Data mining,Motherboard,Computer science,External variable,Support vector machine,Bass diffusion model,Differential evolution,Artificial intelligence,Machine learning
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
41
8
0957-4174
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
4
0.41
21
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Fu-Kwun Wang19422.41
Timon Du2141.62