Title
Measuring the goodness-of-fit of decision-tree models of discrete and continuous activity-travel choice: methods and empirical illustration
Abstract
The use of decision tree models for predicting activity-travel choice is receiving increasing attention, but raises two related problems that are considered in this study. First, commonly used deterministic action-assignment rules should be replaced by probabilistic action-assignment rules. We develop such probabilistic rules for both discrete and continuous choice problems. Second, common goodness-of-fit measures such as the hit-ratio need to be replaced by likelihood measures. In this paper, we develop and empirically illustrate the interrelated methods and measures. The findings suggest that the new measures add information to existing statistics for discrete as well as the continuous choice.
Year
DOI
Venue
2003
10.1007/s10109-003-0097-9
Journal of Geographical Systems
Keywords
Field
DocType
Activity-travel choice,decision tree induction,action assignment,goodness of fit,likelihood measures,C00
Chi-square test,Econometrics,Decision tree,Population,Choice set,Decision support system,Discrete choice,Probabilistic logic,Statistics,Goodness of fit,Geography
Journal
Volume
Issue
Citations 
5
2
3
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.64
0
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Theo A. Arentze18713.60
Harry J. P. Timmermans213621.36