Title
Trading off Supply Chain Risk and Efficiency through Supply Chain Design.
Abstract
The configuration of complex systems to improve their efficiency (reward), risk, or a combination of both performance measures has long been a goal of systems engineering. This research focuses on designing supply chain systems where a large number of discrete configurations exist. The uncertainty of the future is modeled as a set of scenarios. The risk of the system is modeled as the standard deviation of the profits of the various scenarios, while the efficiency or reward of the system is computed as the expected value of the scenario profits. A configuration for which no other configuration exists that has both higher reward and lower risk is said to be Pareto-optimal. An optimizing algorithm that efficiently identifies all Pareto-optimal configurations of a supply chain is presented. A common risk mitigation strategy for supply chains is to increase the overall capacity of the supply chain by either constructing more facilities or by increasing the capacity of individual facilities. We then show through a numerical example, that this strategy does not always have the desired effect of reducing the risk. This observation is a new and counterintuitive managerial insight.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1016/j.procs.2013.01.069
Procedia Computer Science
Keywords
Field
DocType
Supply Chain Design,Risk Management,Pareto Optimization
Complex system,Data mining,Service management,Mathematical optimization,Computer science,Supply chain risk management,Multi-objective optimization,Risk management,Supply chain,Standard deviation,Profit (economics)
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
16
1877-0509
2
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.40
3
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Marc Goetschalckx141930.22
Edward Huang2434.61
Pratik Mital331.13