Title
Prediction of change of winter wheat in north China by using IPCC-AR4 model data.
Abstract
Spatial and temporal mismatches between coarse resolution output of global climate models (GCMs) and fine resolution data requirements of crop models are the major obstacles for assessing the site-specific climatic impacts of climate change on the production of winter wheat. Based on the output of IPCC AR4 model and observation data, statistical downscaling of precipitation, minimum temperature, and maximum temperature in North China was analyzed. With the combination crop model and climate mode, the effects of climate change on the winter wheat production of North China were simulated. Some conclusions from the study might be drawn as follows: Under the IPCC-B1 Scenario, the length of winter wheat growing season in North China would be shortened from 2010 to 2099, and its yield would be decreased. © 2011 IEEE.
Year
DOI
Venue
2011
10.1109/IGARSS.2011.6050122
IGARSS
Keywords
DocType
Volume
growing season,meteorology,data models,climatology,crops,data model,production,agriculture,global climate model,climate change,atmospheric temperature
Conference
null
Issue
ISSN
ISBN
null
null
978-1-4577-1003-2
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
0
Authors
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Mingwei Zhang100.34
Hui Deng200.34
Jianqiang Ren3499.27
Jinlong Fan4397.12
Guicai Li5266.27
Zhongxin Chen66718.05