Paper Info
Title
Modeling risk in the dynamic environment of maritime transportation
Abstract
The Washington State Ferries are one of the largest ferry systems in the world. Accidents involving Washington State Ferries are rare events. However, low probability, high consequence events lead to difficulties in the risk assessment process. Due to the infrequent occurrence of such accidents, large accident databases are not available for a standard statistical analysis of the contribution of perceived risk factors to accident risk. In the WSF Risk Assessment, a modeling approach that combined system simulation, expert judgement and available data was used to estimate the contribution of risk factors to accident risk. Simulation is necessary to capture the dynamic environment of changing risk factors, such as traffic interactions, visibility or wind conditions, and to evaluate future scenario's that are designed to alter this dynamic behavior for the purposes of risk reduction or improved passenger service. This paper describes the simulation component of the model used in the Washington State Ferries Risk Assessment.
Year
DOI
Venue
2001
10.1145/564124.564281
Winter Simulation Conference
Keywords
Field
DocType
washington state ferries risk,risk reduction,risk assessment process,washington state ferries,large accident databases,simulation component,accident risk,risk factor,dynamic environment,combined system simulation,maritime transportation,wsf risk assessment,databases,statistical analysis,modeling,transportation,risk assessment,risk management,probability,risk factors,perceived risk
Visibility,Computer science,Judgement,Transport engineering,Risk assessment,Risk perception,Risk management,Rare events,Statistical analysis
Conference
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
0-7803-7309-X
9
1.13
References 
Authors
1
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jason R. W. Merrick113516.29
J. René van Dorp211616.43
Thomas A. Mazzuchi323636.86
John R. Harrald411111.22