Title
Reliable Confidence Intervals for Software Effort Estimation
Abstract
This paper deals with the problem of software effort estimation through the use of a new machine learning technique for producing reliable confidence measures in predictions. More specifically, we propose the use of Conformal Predictors (CPs), a novel type of prediction algorithms, as a means for providing effort estimations for software projects in the form of predictive intervals according to a specified confidence level. Our approach is based on the well-known Ridge Regression technique, but instead of the simple effort estimates produced by the original method, it produces predictive intervals that satisfy a given confidence level. The results obtained using the proposed algorithm on the COCOMO, Desharnais and ISBSG datasets suggest a quite successful performance obtaining reliable predictive intervals which are narrow enough to be useful in practice.
Year
Venue
Keywords
2009
AIAI Workshops
confidence interval
Field
DocType
Citations 
Confidence measures,Regression,Computer science,Software,Prediction algorithms,Artificial intelligence,COCOMO,Confidence interval,Machine learning
Conference
15
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.72
15
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Harris Papadopoulos121926.33
Efi Papatheocharous213321.97
Andreas S. Andreou321636.65