Title
Adaptive decision support for structured organizations: a case for OrgPOMDPs
Abstract
In today's world, organizations are faced with increasingly large and complex problems that require decision-making under uncertainty. Current methods for optimizing such decisions fall short of handling the problem scale and time constraints. We argue that this is due to existing methods not exploiting the inherent structure of the organizations which solve these problems. We propose a new model called the OrgPOMDP (Organizational POMDP), which is based on the partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP). This new model combines two powerful representations for modeling large scale problems: hierarchical modeling and factored representations. In this paper we make three key contributions: (a) Introduce the OrgPOMDP model; (b) Present an algorithm to solve OrgPOMDP problems efficiently; and (c) Apply OrgPOMDPs to scenarios in an existing large organization, the Air and Space Operation Center (AOC). We conduct experiments and show that our Org-POMDP approach results in greater scalability and greatly reduced runtime. In fact, as the size of the problem increases, we soon reach a point at which the OrgPOMDP approach continues to provide solutions while traditional POMDP methods cannot. We also provide an empirical evaluation to highlight the benefits of an organization implementing an OrgPOMDP policy.
Year
DOI
Venue
2011
10.5555/2034396.2034461
AAMAS
Keywords
Field
DocType
org-pomdp approach result,existing large organization,orgpomdp problem,adaptive decision support,traditional pomdp method,orgpomdp policy,new model,structured organization,orgpomdp approach,large scale problem,organizational pomdp,orgpomdp model,uncertainty,algorithms,management,organizations,decision support
Hierarchical modeling,Partially observable Markov decision process,Computer science,Decision support system,Artificial intelligence,Machine learning,Scalability,Complex problems
Conference
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
0-9826571-7-X
0
0.34
References 
Authors
7
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Pradeep Varakantham164863.05
Nathan Schurr218816.28
Alan Carlin341.12
Christopher Amato447935.66