Paper Info
Title
The Effect of Robust Decisions on the Cost of Uncertainty in Military Airlift Operations
Abstract
There are a number of sources of randomness that arise in military airlift operations. However, the cost of uncertainty can be difficult to estimate, and is easy to overestimate if we use simplistic decision rules. Using data from Canadian military airlift operations, we study the effect of uncertainty in customer demands as well as aircraft failures, on the overall cost. The system is first analyzed using the types of myopic decision rules widely used in the research literature. The performance of the myopic policy is then compared to the results obtained using robust decisions that account for the uncertainty of future events. These are obtained by modeling the problem as a dynamic program, and solving Bellman’s equations using approximate dynamic programming. The experiments show that even approximate solutions to Bellman’s equations produce decisions that reduce the cost of uncertainty.
Year
DOI
Venue
2011
10.1145/2043635.2043636
ACM Trans. Model. Comput. Simul.
Keywords
Field
DocType
myopic policy,simplistic decision rule,myopic decision rule,military airlift operation,approximate solution,dynamic program,military airlift operations,robust decision,overall cost,robust decisions,approximate dynamic programming,canadian military airlift operation,military logistics,robust control,decision rule
Decision rule,Airlift,Dynamic programming,Mathematical optimization,Military logistics,Computer science,Operations research,Robust control,Management science,Randomness
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
22
1
1049-3301
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
16
0.91
16
Authors
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Warren B. Powell11614151.46
Belgacem Bouzaiene-ayari2343.84
Jean Berger3160.91
Abdeslem Boukhtouta4408.15
Abraham P. George51056.21