Title
Rare-event simulation for stochastic recurrence equations with heavy-tailed innovations
Abstract
In this article, rare-event simulation for stochastic recurrence equations of the form Xn+1=An+1Xn+Bn+1, X0=0 is studied, where {An;n≥ 1} and {Bn;n≥ 1} are independent sequences consisting of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables. It is assumed that the tail of the distribution of B1 is regularly varying, whereas the distribution of A1 has a suitably light tail. The problem of efficient estimation, via simulation, of quantities such as P{Xnb} and P{supk≤nXk b} for large b and n is studied. Importance sampling strategies are investigated that provide unbiased estimators with bounded relative error as b and n tend to infinity.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1145/2517451
ACM Trans. Model. Comput. Simul.
Keywords
Field
DocType
efficient estimation,rare-event simulation,random variable,unbiased estimator,bounded relative error,suitably light tail,independent sequence,form xn,heavy-tailed innovation,stochastic recurrence equation,large b,importance sampling
Random variable,Combinatorics,Importance sampling,Infinity,Recurrence equations,Independent and identically distributed random variables,Statistics,Approximation error,Mathematics,Estimator,Bounded function
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
23
4
1049-3301
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
7
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jose Blanchet1226.04
Henrik Hult2435.54
Kevin Leder3133.12