Title
Why Put All Your Eggs in One Basket? A Competition-Based View of How Technological Uncertainty Affects a Firm’s Technological Specialization
Abstract
Conventional wisdom suggests that when a firm faces technological uncertainty, it responds by becoming less technologically specialized so as to remain adaptable to subsequent resolution of this uncertainty. We adopt a competition-based view of technological uncertainty to identify an opposite effect in competitive settings: the firm may instead become more specialized when faced with greater technological uncertainty so as to focus on advancing its technologies against competition and influence the resolution of uncertainty in its favor over rivals. We propose that this effect is accentuated when the firm expects that it cannot easily adapt to rivals’ technologies subsequently, specifically when rivals are a greater deterrent through being litigious or innovative. Using U.S. government funding for fuel cell research as a policy shock, with stock option-implied volatilities to measure expected uncertainty, we find empirical support for our propositions among firms active in research and development in the U.S. communications equipment industry. Through these findings, we demonstrate that a competition-based view of uncertainty identifies an alternative path for the firm’s resource accumulation under uncertainty, and we stress that the resolution of uncertainty can be something the firm attempts to influence rather than adapt to.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1287/orsc.1120.0782
Organization Science
Keywords
Field
DocType
greater technological uncertainty,greater deterrent,competition-based view,subsequent resolution,opposite effect,technological uncertainty,u.s. communications equipment industry,firm attempt,u.s. government funding,fuel cell research,technological specialization,innovation,competition
Fuel cells,Telecommunications equipment,Conventional wisdom,Industrial organization,Empirical research,Business,Government
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
24
4
1047-7039
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
4
0.45
7
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Puay Khoon Toh140.45
Taekyu Kim2144.89