Title
Predicting Influenza Waves With Health Insurance Data
Abstract
In recent years, many of the most developed countries have started to create influenza surveillance systems, because influenza still is very costly, not just concerning the health systems, but also economically. In most of these systems statistical methods are applied, unfortunately with rather moderate results. In contrast to statistical methods case-based reasoning explicitly uses former episodes. Because we already successfully applied our prognostic method, which combines case-based reasoning (CBR) with temporal abstraction, to kidney functions, we use it again to forecast influenza. Because health centers collect extensive laboratory data but their availability is usually delayed for at least two weeks, we use quickly available data from the main German health insurance scheme. In this article, we propose the use of CBR for influenza forecast and we show promising results.
Year
DOI
Venue
2006
10.1111/j.1467-8640.2006.00285.x
COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE
Keywords
Field
DocType
case-based reasoning, influenza surveillance, time-series prediction
Time series,Influenza season,Actuarial science,Computer science,Health insurance,Case base,Developed country,Case-based reasoning
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
22
3-4
0824-7935
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
5
0.52
14
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Rainer Schmidt150.52
Tina Waligora2103.02
Lothar Gierl329126.29