Title
Prediction of pricing and hedging errors for equity linked warrants with Gaussian process models
Abstract
Gaussian process (GP) model is a Bayesian kernel-based learning machine. In this paper, we propose a GP model with a various mixed kernel for pricing and hedging ELWs (equity linked warrants) traded at KRX with predictive distribution. We experiment with daily market data relevant to KOSPI200 call ELWs from March 2006 to July 2006, comparing the performance of the GP model with those of various neural network (NN) models to show its effectiveness. The applied NN models contain early stopping, regularized NN, and bagging. The proposed GP model shows that its forecast capability outperforms those of the three NN models in terms of both pricing and hedging errors, thereby generating consistent results.
Year
DOI
Venue
2008
10.1016/j.eswa.2007.07.041
Expert Syst. Appl.
Keywords
Field
DocType
nn model,neural networks,regularized nn,consistent result,kospi200 call elws,gaussian process model,proposed gp model,daily market data,hedging,gp model,derivatives,various mixed kernel,gaussian process,equity linked warrants,gaussian processes,various neural network,predictive distribution,neural network
Econometrics,Kernel (linear algebra),Early stopping,Computer science,Hedge (finance),Artificial intelligence,Equity (finance),Gaussian process,Market data,Artificial neural network,Machine learning,Bayesian probability
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
35
1-2
Expert Systems With Applications
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
8
0.57
9
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Gyu-Sik Han1182.55
Jaewook Lee273550.24