Title
How Citation Boosts Promote Scientific Paradigm Shifts And Nobel Prizes
Abstract
Nobel Prizes are commonly seen to be among the most prestigious achievements of our times. Based on mining several million citations, we quantitatively analyze the processes driving paradigm shifts in science. We find that groundbreaking discoveries of Nobel Prize Laureates and other famous scientists are not only acknowledged by many citations of their landmark papers. Surprisingly, they also boost the citation rates of their previous publications. Given that innovations must outcompete the rich-gets-richer effect for scientific citations, it turns out that they can make their way only through citation cascades. A quantitative analysis reveals how and why they happen. Science appears to behave like a self-organized critical system, in which citation cascades of all sizes occur, from continuous scientific progress all the way up to scientific revolutions, which change the way we see our world. Measuring the "boosting effect" of landmark papers, our analysis reveals how new ideas and new players can make their way and finally triumph in a world dominated by established paradigms. The underlying "boost factor" is also useful to discover scientific breakthroughs and talents much earlier than through classical citation analysis, which by now has become a widespread method to measure scientific excellence, influencing scientific careers and the distribution of research funds. Our findings reveal patterns of collective social behavior, which are also interesting from an attention economics perspective. Understanding the origin of scientific authority may therefore ultimately help to explain how social influence comes about and why the value of goods depends so strongly on the attention they attract.
Year
DOI
Venue
2011
10.1371/journal.pone.0018975
PLOS ONE
Keywords
Field
DocType
biology,quantitative analysis,chemistry,social behavior,engineering,physics,citation analysis,medicine,social influence,paradigm shift
Positive economics,Paradigm shift,Citation,Citation analysis,Social influence,Social system,Bibliometrics,Scientific progress,Excellence,Mathematics
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
6
5
1932-6203
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
34
2.10
9
Authors
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Amin Mazloumian1573.47
Young-Ho Eom225320.42
Dirk Helbing381397.01
Sergi Lozano4515.44
Santo Fortunato54209212.38