Title
CHARACTERIZING AND PREDICTING BURSTY EVENTS: THE BUZZ CASE STUDY ON TWITTER.
Abstract
The prediction of bursty events on the Internet is a challenging task. Difficulties are due to the diversity of information sources, the size of the Internet, dynamics of popularity, user behaviors... On the other hand, Twitter is a structured and limited space. In this paper, we present a new method for predicting bursty events using content-related indices. Prediction is performed by a neural network that combines three features in order to predict the number of retweets of a tweet on the Twitter platform. The indices are related to popularity, expressivity and singularity. Popularity index is based on the analysis of RSS streams. Expressivity uses a dictionary that contains words annotated in terms of expressivity load. Singularity represents outlying topic association estimated via a Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) model. Experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposal with a 72% F-measure prediction score for the tweets that have been forwarded at least 60 times.
Year
Venue
Keywords
2014
LREC 2014 - NINTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON LANGUAGE RESOURCES AND EVALUATION
Bursty events detection,Latent Dirichlet Allocation,Neural network
Field
DocType
Citations 
Latent Dirichlet allocation,Computer science,Popularity,Singularity,Artificial intelligence,Natural language processing,Artificial neural network,The Internet,Expressivity,World Wide Web,Information retrieval,RSS,Marketing buzz
Conference
1
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.36
12
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Mohamed Morchid18422.79
Georges Linares28719.73
richard dufour39823.98