Title
Trading Behavior and Excess Volatility in Toy Markets
Abstract
We study the relation between the trading behavior of agents and volatility in toy markets of adaptive inductively rational agents. We show that excess volatility, in such simplified markets, arises as a consequence of {\em i)} the neglect of market impact implicit in price taking behavior and of {\em ii)} excessive reactivity of agents. These issues are dealt with in detail in the simple case without public information. We also derive, for the general case, the critical learning rate above which trading behavior leads to turbulent dynamics of the market.
Year
DOI
Venue
2001
10.2139/ssrn.237128
Advances in Complex Systems
Keywords
DocType
Volume
el farol bar problem,market impact,minority games,adaptive learning.,statistical mechanics
Journal
4
Issue
Citations 
PageRank 
1
1
0.35
References 
Authors
0
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Matteo Marsili114917.65
Damien Challet2112.23