Title
Cyclical Bid Adjustments in Search-Engine Advertising
Abstract
Keyword advertising, or sponsored search, is one of the most successful advertising models on the Internet. One distinctive feature of keyword auctions is that they enable advertisers to adjust their bids and rankings dynamically, and the payoffs are realized in real time. We capture this unique feature with a dynamic model and identify an equilibrium bidding strategy. We find that under certain conditions, advertisers may engage in cyclical bid adjustments, and equilibrium bidding prices may follow a cyclical pattern: price-escalating phases interrupted by price-collapsing phases, similar to an “Edgeworth cycle” in the context of dynamic price competitions. Such cyclical bidding patterns can take place in both first-and second-price auctions. We obtain two data sets containing detailed bidding records of all advertisers for a sample of keywords in two leading search engines. Our empirical framework, based on a Markov switching regression model, suggests the existence of such cyclical bidding strategies. The cyclical bid-updating behavior we find cannot be easily explained with static models. This paper emphasizes the importance of adopting a dynamic perspective in studying equilibrium outcomes of keyword auctions. This paper was accepted by Pradeep Chintagunta and Preyas Desai, special issue editors. This paper was accepted by Pradeep Chintagunta and Preyas Desai, special issue editors.
Year
DOI
Venue
2011
10.1287/mnsc.1110.1408
Management Science
Keywords
Field
DocType
cyclical pattern,keyword auction,cyclical bidding strategy,cyclical bid adjustment,preyas desai,cyclical bid-updating behavior,pradeep chintagunta,cyclical bidding pattern,detailed bidding record,search-engine advertising,cyclical bid adjustments,special issue editor,regression model,search engine,second price auction,real time
Economics,Search engine advertising,Microeconomics,Markov chain,Keyword advertising,Common value auction,Real-time bidding,Bidding,The Internet
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
57
9
0025-1909
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
10
0.59
16
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Xiaoquan (Michael) Zhang110823.28
Juan Feng2314.03