Title
Nodal Electrical Load Prediction Model Real-Time Forecast With Alarm Signal
Abstract
This work is a contribution to set a nodal electrical load's forecasting model on real time. The model named PRENOD uses the Holt & Winters's seasonal method. With other models, they constitute the management system of the Electricity and Gas Enterprise's high voltage network. The proposed model should contribute to under control the electrical constraints due to the flow of produced power in the network. Moreover, it enables to take into account the new acquisitions by an update of the optimal model's coefficients. Furthermore, a correction algorithm of erroneous acquisitions has been developed in order to guarantee data's reliability necessary for the forecasting model. The algorithm is inspired from the track signals. Eventually, the validation results are satisfying as the Mean Absolute Percentage Error MAPE does not exceed 10%.
Year
DOI
Venue
2006
10.3166/jds.15.97-114
JOURNAL OF DECISION SYSTEMS
Keywords
Field
DocType
Forecasting model, Real time, Nodal electrical load, Track signal
Mean absolute percentage error,Electrical network,Electrical load,Computer science,Electricity,Control theory,Mean squared error,Artificial intelligence,High voltage,Reel,Management science,Approximation error
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
15
1
1166-8636
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
0
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Oumhani Belmokhtar100.68
Nacéra Aboun200.68
Abdelghani Rehal300.34