Title
Forecast comparison of principal component regression and principal covariate regression
Abstract
Forecasting with many predictors is of interest, for instance, in macroeconomics and finance. The forecast accuracy of two methods for dealing with many predictors is compared, that is, principal component regression (PCR) and principal covariate regression (PCovR). Simulation experiments with data generated by factor models and regression models indicate that, in general, PCR performs better for the first type of data and PCovR performs better for the second type of data. An empirical application to four key US macroeconomic variables shows that PCovR achieves improved forecast accuracy in some situations.
Year
DOI
Venue
2007
10.1016/j.csda.2006.10.019
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
Keywords
Field
DocType
principal covariates,forecast comparison,factor model,empirical application,simulation experiment,forecast accuracy,macroeconomic variable,principal component regression,principal covariate regression,key us,principal components,regression model,economic forecasting
Cross-sectional regression,Econometrics,Covariate,Economics,Principal component regression,Regression diagnostic,Regression analysis,Local regression,Factor regression model,Statistics,Regression dilution
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
51
7
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
8
1.04
0
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Christiaan Heij1528.06
Patrick J. F. Groenen28411.72
Dick van Dijk3707.09