Title
Parameterisation and evaluation of a Bayesian network for use in an ecological risk assessment
Abstract
Catchment managers face considerable challenges in managing ecological assets. This task is made difficult by the variable and complex nature of ecological assets, and the considerable uncertainty involved in quantifying how various threats and hazards impact upon them. Bayesian approaches have the potential to address the modelling needs of environmental management. However, to date many Bayesian networks (Bn) developed for environmental management have been parameterised using knowledge elicitation only. Not only are these models highly qualitative, but the time and effort involved in elicitation of a complex Bn can often be overwhelming. Unfortunately in environmental applications, data alone are often too limited for parameterising a Bn. Consequently, there is growing interest in how to parameterise Bns using both data and elicited information. At present, there is little formal guidance on how to combine what can be learned from the data with what can be elicited. In a previous publication we proposed a detailed methodology for this process, focussing on parameterising and evaluating a Bn. In this paper, we further develop this methodology using a risk assessment case study, with the focus being on native fish communities in the Goulburn Catchment (Victoria, Australia).
Year
DOI
Venue
2007
10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.03.006
Environmental Modelling and Software
Keywords
Field
DocType
detailed methodology,complex nature,bayesian network,complex bn,fish,considerable challenge,considerable uncertainty,ecological asset,ecological risk assessment,ecology,environmental management,bayesian approach,environmental application,risk assessment
Ecology,Computer science,Risk assessment,Bayesian network,Knowledge elicitation,Management science,Bayesian probability
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
22
8
Environmental Modelling and Software
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
56
4.09
14
Authors
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Carmel A. Pollino11369.08
Owen Woodberry2766.24
Ann E. Nicholson369288.01
kevin b korb41096.98
Barry T. Hart5564.43