Title
New simulation methodology for risk analysis: importance sampling for a mixed Poisson model of portfolio credit risk
Abstract
Simulation is widely used to estimate losses due to default and other credit events in financial portfolios. The challenge in doing this efficiently results from (i) rare-event aspects of large losses and (ii) complex dependence between defaults of multiple obligors. We discuss importance sampling techniques to address this problem in two portfolio credit risk models developed in the financial industry, with particular emphasis on a mixed Poisson model. We give conditions for asymptotic optimality of the estimators as the portfolio size grows.
Year
DOI
Venue
2003
10.5555/1030818.1030857
Winter Simulation Conference
Keywords
Field
DocType
financial industry,financial portfolio,large loss,credit event,multiple obligors,new simulation methodology,complex dependence,mixed poisson model,portfolio credit risk model,risk analysis,asymptotic optimality,portfolio size
Importance sampling,Actuarial science,Risk analysis (business),Computer science,Financial services,Portfolio,Default,Portfolio optimization,Poisson regression,Credit risk
Conference
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
0-7803-8132-7
3
0.83
References 
Authors
2
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Paul Glasserman149695.86
Jingyi Li230.83