Title
Steady-state simulation analysis using ASAP3
Abstract
We discuss ASAP3, a refinement of the batch means algorithms ASAP and ASAP2. ASAP3 is a sequential procedure designed to produce a confidence-interval estimator for the expected response of a steady-state simulation that satisfies user-specified precision and coverage-probability requirements. ASAP3 operates as follows: the batch size is increased until the batch means pass the Shapiro-Wilk test for multivariate normality; and then ASAP3 fits a first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) time series model to the batch means. If necessary, the batch size is further increased until the autoregressive parameter in the AR(1) model does not significantly exceed 0.8. Next ASAP3 computes the terms of an inverse Cornish-Fisher expansion for the classical batch means t-ratio based on the AR(1) parameter estimates; and finally ASAP3 delivers a correlation-adjusted confidence interval based on this expansion. ASAP3 compared favorably with other batch means procedures (namely, ABATCH, ASAP, ASAP2, and LBATCH) in an extensive experimental performance evaluation.
Year
DOI
Venue
2004
10.1109/WSC.2004.1371375
Winter Simulation Conference
Keywords
Field
DocType
autoregressive parameter,algorithms asap,parameter estimate,classical batch,steady-state simulation analysis,time series model,first-order autoregressive,batch size,shapiro-wilk test,next asap3 compute,inverse cornish-fisher expansion,time series,first order,confidence interval,parameter estimation,multivariate normal,steady state,probability,discrete event simulation,satisfiability
Time series,Applied mathematics,Autoregressive model,Normality test,Batch production,Simulation,Multivariate normal distribution,Batch processing,Estimation theory,Statistics,Mathematics,Estimator
Conference
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
0-7803-8786-4
5
0.77
References 
Authors
10
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Natalie M. Steiger124723.94
Emily K. Lada218920.59
James R. Wilson3840143.42
Jeffrey A. Joines462569.10
Christos Alexopoulos542677.68
David Goldsman6904159.71